Tag: Israel
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Everyone Will Be Disappointed With the Day After in Gaza
In this report, we take a fresh look at the problem of what Gaza will look like after the war. A lot of people have written about the topic, mostly with unrealistic expectations or false assumptions, and the subject has become a moving target with the parties themselves changing the goalposts. This paper aims to
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Iran After the 12-Day War (w/ Farid Mirbagheri)
Iran After the 12-Day War (w/ Farid Mirbagheri) Iran is militarily weakened and politically divided. It is unlikely to restore the pre–12 Day War status quo with Israel, particularly as its regional proxies struggle to recover. Many Iranians have lost confidence in their government and would welcome fundamental change. Yet even under a new regime,
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Gulf Arab Perspectives on Regional Security After the Israel-Iran War
The Gulf Arab countries managed to avoid direct involvement in the recent conflict over Iran’s nuclear program—which pitted Iran against Israel and, briefly, the United States—but the situation in the region remains volatile. The war has significantly altered the strategic landscape, raising critical questions for the security interests of Gulf Arab states. With Israel increasingly
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Rising Lion, Falling Order? The Israel-Iran Conflict and What’s Next
Following Israel’s “Operation Rising Lion”—a series of coordinated strikes targeting Iranian military installations, nuclear facilities, and leadership—the Middle East has once again been plunged into turmoil. How likely is direct U.S. involvement, including a potential bombing campaign? What are the implications for global oil markets? Could this conflict open the door to renewed diplomacy over
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The Middle East One Year After October 7
As the Middle East faces the prospect of a wider war, the Biden administration is seeking to limit the current conflict. Will the conflict escalate into a larger confrontation involving Israel, Iran, and other regional powers? What are the strategic calculations at play, and how is the Biden Administration navigating the complexities of containment? On
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